The GBP/USD pair did not show any special movements on Monday either. The pair, like the euro/dollar, continued its sluggish retreat from last week's lows. Volatility was almost 80 points, which is an average value for the pound. It turns out to be a rather paradoxical situation: the pound obviously did not stand still, but at the same time the whole movement looks very weak, almost like a flat. The high volatility movements of recent weeks are to blame. The pound simply taught traders that passing 120-150 points a day is normal. So now 80 points look like nothing. Nevertheless, the pair managed to rise to the level of 1.2260 and very clumsily tried either to overcome it several times, or to rebound from it. It is not entirely clear even now. Moreover, on the 30-minute timeframe it is not at all clear what the trend is now. However, we have already talked about this - the trend is perfectly visible on the higher timeframes, and we need to focus on them now. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gave a speech, there were also parliamentary hearings on monetary policy. However, even judging by the way the pair moved (without sharp reversals and movements), it seems that the market was not interested in this information, and Bailey again did not mention anything important.
Four terribly inaccurate signals were formed on the 5-minute timeframe on Monday. Even though the 1.2260 level is actually quite strong, the price almost ignored it. The chart clearly shows that all four signals were actually formed in a flat. If during the European trading session the pair was still trying to move in a trendy way, then it no longer did so in the afternoon. Thus, by the time the third signal was formed, it was already clear that there would be no movement. Beginners could work out the first two signals. One short position should have been opened for them, since these signals practically duplicated each other. In both cases, the price could not go down by even 15 points, so somewhere around the third signal, this deal should have been closed at a minimum loss and one should have left the market. The next two signals could not be worked out: there was no movement, two false signals near 1.2260.
How to trade on Tuesday:
The downward trend still persists on the 30-minute timeframe. There are still practically no bulls on the market, so the pound is practically not growing. Quite important reports will be released on Tuesday and Wednesday, so it will be possible to count on a more trendy movement than on Monday. However, these reports are unlikely to completely change the mood of the market from "absolutely bearish" to bullish. On the 5-minute TF, it is recommended to trade at the levels 1.2071, 1.2164, 1.2216, 1.2260, 1.2296, 1.2379-1.2409. When the price passes after opening a deal in the right direction for 20 points, Stop Loss should be set to breakeven. Reports on unemployment, applications for unemployment benefits and wages are set to be released in the UK on Tuesday. This is a medium importance data, so we do not expect a strong reaction to them - points 20-30. Data on US industrial production and retail sales are about the same in terms of importance. That is, we also expect a reaction of 20-30 points to them.
