Here are some of the important economic data that will be the focus of the market throughout this week.
TUESDAY (December 16, 2025)
ADP Weekly Report (9.30 PM) – The latest figure of around 4.8 shows that the US labor market is still stable, but investors will be watching to see whether the momentum of hiring is starting to slow or not.
US Non-Farm Payroll Data (9.30 PM) – The current reading of 119,000 and is expected to fall to 50,000 indicates that the labor market is starting to cool. If the figure is really low, it could add pressure on the Fed to be more dovish.
US Retail Sales Data (9.30 PM) – Expected to be unchanged at 0.2%, indicating that consumer spending is still moderate. No major surprises are expected so far.
US Unemployment Rate (9.30 PM) – Forecast to rise slightly to 4.5% from 4.4%, indicating some weakness in the labor market, but still within the control zone.
US Manufacturing and Services PMI Reports (9.30 PM) – Both are expected to be little changed, suggesting US economic activity remains moderate without a major surge.
THURSDAY (December 18, 2025)
US CPI Report (9.30 PM) – CPI remains the Fed’s main inflation gauge, with a recent reading of 3.0%. This data is important to determine whether inflationary pressures have truly subsided or are still stubborn.
US Jobless Claims (9.30 PM) – Forecast to fall to 224,000 from 236,000, indicating the labor market remains resilient despite signs of a slowdown.
FRIDAY (19 December 2025)
BOJ Interest Rate Policy, Bank of Japan (10 AM) – The BOJ is expected to raise interest rates from 0.50% to 0.75%, a move that reflects confidence in Japan's economic recovery and efforts to control inflationary pressures. The decision has the potential to have a major impact on the yen and Asian markets.
